Name of the Report :
World FLNG Market Forecast 2015-2021

Published Date : 24th July 2015

Table of Contents

1 Summary & Conclusions.......7
Summary.......8
Conclusions.......9

2 Macro Economic Overview.......10
Population & GDP Growth Drive Energy Demand.......11
Natural Gas.......12
Oil & Gas Production.......13
Regional Offshore Production Outlook.......14
Oil & Gas Challenges.......15
Oil price volatility.......16
Capex Compression.......17

3 Drivers of Offshore Accommodation.......18
Asset Lifecycle Overview.......19
Offshore Wells Drilled.......20
Offshore Asset Installations.......21
Fixed & Floating Platform Population.......22
Offshore Maintenance, Modifications & Operations.......23

4 Market Fundamentals.......24
Accommodation Unit Definitions.......25
Key Decision Criteria.......26
Regional Preferences.......27
Key Specifications.......28
Workscope Suitability.......29
Accommodation Unit Day Rates.......30
Accommodation Hub Concept.......31

5 Supply Review.......32
Vessel Suitability.......33
Vessel Suitability.......34
Regional Offshore Accommodation Supply Drivers.......35
Supply Methodology.......36
Jackups & Liftboats – Supply Side Trends.......37
Barges – Supply Side Trends.......38
Monohull Vessels – Supply Side Trends.......39
Semisubmersibles – Supply Side Trends.......40
Orderbook .......41
Low PoB Units.......42

6 Accommodation Market Forecast.......43
Model Summary.......44
Global PoB Demand: by Accommodation Unit.......45
Global PoB Demand & Supply.......46
Global PoB Demand: by Workscope.......47
Global PoB Demand: by Region.......48
Africa PoB Demand.......49
Asia PoB Demand.......50
Australasia PoB Demand.......51
Eastern Europe & FSU PoB Demand.......52
Latin America PoB Demand.......53
Middle East PoB Demand.......54
North America PoB Demand .......55
Western Europe PoB Demand.......56

7 Appendix .......57
Data and Text Conventions.......58

List of Tables

Table 1: Accommodation Unit Preference by Region........... 27
Table 2: Large Accommodation Units ...........36
Table 3: Supply Overview: Jackups & Liftboats ........... 37
Table 4: Supply Overview: Barges ...........38
Table 5: Supply Overview: Monohull Vessels ...........39
Table 6: Supply Overview: Semisubmersibles...........40
Table 7: Supply Overview: Orderbook – All Units ...........41
Table 8: Supply Overview: Barges ...........42
Table 9: Global PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........45
Table 10: Global PoB Demand and Supply 2015-2020 ...........46
Table 11: Global PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........47
Table 12: Global PoB Demand by Region 2014-2020 ...........48
Table 13: Africa PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........49
Table 14: Africa PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........49
Table 15: Asia PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........50
Table 16: Asia PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........50
Table 17: Australasia PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........51
Table 18: Australasia PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........51
Table 19: Eastern Europe & FSU PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........52
Table 20: Eastern Europe & FSU PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........52
Table 21: Latin America PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........53
Table 22: Latin America PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........53
Table 23: Middle East PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........54
Table 24: Middle East PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........54
Table 25: North America PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........55
Table 26: North America PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........55
Table 27: Western Europe PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020...........56
Table 28: Western Europe PoB Demand by Workscope 2014-2020...........56

List of Figures

Figure 1: Global PoB Demand by Region 2009-2020.........8
Figure 2: Global Population Growth & Energy Demand, 1965-2035.........11
Figure 3: Historic Primary Energy Demand by Region, 1965-2013.........11
Figure 4: Levellised Cost of Energy ($/mwh).........12
Figure 5: Natural Gas Prices 1996-2014 ($/mbtu) .........12
Figure 6: Oil & Gas Production by Offshore and Onshore 2000-2020.........13
Figure 7: Offshore Oil & Gas Production by Region 2000-2020.........13
Figure 8: Offshore/Onshore Production Split 2015 .........13
Figure 9: Oil & Gas Production vs E&P Spend .........15
Figure 10: Skilled Workers Age Category .........15
Figure 11: Brent and WTI Oil Prices, January 2007 – February 2015.........16
Figure 12: Oil Price to Balance Budgets vs Current Brent at $65.........16
Figure 13: Cash Return on Cash Invested (CROCI) and the Brent Oil Price 1965-2017.........17
Figure 14: Shallow Water (<500m) Wells Drilled 2000-2020.........20
Figure 15: Deepwater (>500m) Wells Drilled 2000-2020.........20
Figure 16: Fixed and Floating Platform Installations 2002-2020.........21
Figure 17: Subsea Tree Installations and Subsea Capex 2002-2020.........21
Figure 19: Total Platform Population byRegion, 2015 .........22
Figure 18: Fixed and Floating Platform Population by Region, 2015-2020.........22
Figure 20: Offshore MMO Expenditure on Fixed and Floating Platforms 2009-2020.........23
Figure 21: Key Accommodation Specifications.........28
Figure 22: Typical Day Rate Range by Unit Type.........30
Figure 23: Accommodation Hub Concept .........31
Figure 24: Potential Regions for the Accommodation Hub Concept.........31
Figure 25: Accommodation Fleet Construction Cycle.........34
Figure 26: Supply of Accommodation Units .........36
Figure 27: Global PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........45
Figure 28: Average Global PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit, 2009-14 & 2015-20.........45
Figure 29: Global PoB Demand and Supply 2009-2020.........46
Figure 30: Global PoB Demand by Workscope 2009-2020.........47
Figure 31: Global PoB Demand by Workscope, 2009-2014 and 2015-2020.........47
Figure 32: Global PoB Demand by Region 2009-2020......... 48
Figure 33: Global PoB Demand by Region, 2009-2014 and 2015-2020.........48
Figure 34: Africa PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........49
Figure 35: Asia PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........50
Figure 36: Australasia PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........51
Figure 37: Eastern Europe & FSU PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........52
Figure 38: Latin America PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........53
Figure 39: Middle East PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........54
Figure 40: North America PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........55
Figure 41: Western Europe PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2009-2020.........56

Summary

Modest Growth in Offshore Accommodation Market Despite Capex Slowdown

This forecast that over the period 2015 to 2020 demand for
offshore accommodation vessels will average almost 42,000 Personnel on
Board (PoB) per year. An increase of 14% compared to the preceding six-year
period. Despite a peak between 2016 and 2018, the market will plateau towards
2020 as decreasing fixed platform installations and capital expenditure (Capex)
restrictions lead to a decline in construction support.

Offshore accommodation units are utilised throughout a field lifecycle in both the
operational expenditure (Opex) and Capex stages. Over the forecast period Opex
driven Life of Field (LoF) support will continue to dominate PoB requirements,
accounting for 73% of demand, largely driven by the vast installed base of
fixed platforms.

Operators will demand temporary accommodation support in order to minimise
platform downtime during maintenance and modification work, ensuring continuity
of production. Accommodation units, utilised to support hook-up and installation
of platforms and subsea infrastructure, are more susceptible to oil price declines
and will account for 27% of PoB requirements over the period.

Asia accounts for the largest share of accommodation demand in the next six years,
at 26%, due to the large number of installed platforms. The large tonnage of platforms
in Western Europe, the substantial small fixed platform population in North America
and increasing deepwater production in Africa are also key.

The World Offshore Accommodation Market Forecast 2015-2020 analyses the supply
and demand for jackups / liftboats, barges (no DP), barges (DP), monohulls and
semisubmersible accommodation units. Regional PoB requirements are split by
accommodation unit and the type of work scope, including well servicing, modifications,
maintenance, EOR and construction. The report includes:

- Macro-economic overview – analysis of the global macro-economic issues currently
impacting the offshore accommodation market including: global energy demand and
E&P trends, oil & gas production and prices and regional offshore production analysis.
- Drivers of offshore accommodation – an in-depth discussion of the factors encouraging
demand for accommodation units throughout the asset lifecycle: offshore wells
drilled, offshore asset installations, fixed & floating platform installations and MMO expenditure.
- Market fundamentals – overview of accommodation units including definitions, key
specifications and factors determining the suitability and choice of accommodation unit.
- Supply review – supply side trends including competitive supply breakdown by accommodation
unit and order book analysis.
- Accommodation market forecast – PoB demand by accommodation unit and work scope
2015-2020 with trend commentary for Africa, Asia, Australasia, Eastern Europe & FSU,
Latin America, Middle East, North America and Western Europe.
 

Why purchase the Offshore Accommodation Market Forecast?

This market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients
including the world’s top-10 oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and
top-10 private equity firms.

An essential report – for financial institutions, vessel contractors, engineering companies,
oil & gas companies and government agencies & departments wanting to make more
informed investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:

- Unique and proprietary data – updated year-round from published sources and
insight gained from industry consultation.
- Detailed methodology – the report uses research from our own offshore database
for fixed and floating platforms; an information system exclusive to this report, to form
the basis of the models. Assumptions used to generate market demand are the
result of our primary and secondary research. Demand-side analysis by work scope
and accommodation unit provides a metric on which to establish future opportunities
and provide a context for market share assessment.
- Comprehensive market forecasts – examination, analysis and 12-year coverage
of PoB demand, with hindcasts back to 2009.
- Concise report layout – consistent with this report commitment to delivering value for
our clients, all our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry
background and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with
‘speed-read’ summaries of key points throughout.

Price

Single User PDF : £12,950
Single User Hardcopy : £12,950
Multi-User PDF (5 users) : £13,950
Multi-User Hardcopy (5 copies) : £13,950

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Search words (for official use only) :
Population & GDP Growth Drive Energy Demand
Regional Offshore Accommodation Supply Drivers
Global PoB Demand by Accommodation Unit 2014-2020
Global Population Growth & Energy Demand, 1965-2035
Fixed and Floating Platform Population by Region, 2015-2020
Offshore MMO Expenditure on Fixed and Floating Platforms 2009-2020
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