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World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace    

Equipment ID   : 1693
Equipment name   : World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Category   : Research Reports
Specifications   :

Name of the Report :
World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025

Published Date : 18 November 2015

Table of Contents

1 Summary and Conclusions......7

Summary ...... 8
Conclusions ......9 

2 Drivers and Indicators ...... 10
Overview ......11
Political Drivers ......12
Economic Drivers ......13 
Low Carbon Power Generation ......14 

3 Offshore Wind Project Development ...... 15
Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle .......16
Offshore Wind Project Cost Structur......17
Capex Phase 1: Planning & Development ......18
Capex Phase 1: Wind Turbine ......19
Capex Phase 1: Balance of Plant ......20
Capex Phase 1: Installation ......21
Opex Phase ......22
Capex Phase 2: Decommissioning ......23
Offshore Wind Supply Chain ......24 

4 Commercial Insights ......25
Project Scale ......26
Supply Chain ......27
Capital and Lifetime Costs ......29
Risk Profile ......30
Financing Challenges ......31
Contracting Strategies ......33
Industry Challenges ......34
Technology: Wind Turbines ......36
Technology: Foundations ......38
Key Trends: New Technologies ......39
Key Trends: Clustering and Repowering ......40
Key Trends: Logistics ......41
Key Markets: Current Capacity ......42 
Emerging Markets: Forecast Capacity 2016-2025 ......43 

5 Market Forecast ......44
Methodology ......45
Added Capacity by Country......48
Cumulative Capacity by Country......49
Capital Expenditure by Country ......50
Annual Capital Expenditure by Type ......51
Operational Expenditure by Country ......52
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Country ......53
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Size ......54
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Manufacturer ......55
Segment Forecasts: Foundations ......56
Segment Forecasts: Cables ......57
Segment Forecasts: Offshore Substations ......58
Segment Forecasts: Vessels ......59
Segment Forecasts: Helicopters ......60 

6 Appendix ...... 61
Data and Text Conventions ......62

List of Tables

Table 1: Renewable Energy Incentive Mechanisms in Key Markets......12
Table 2: Foundation Types Comparison ......27
 Table 3: Investor Types and Their Attitude to Risk ......30
Table 4: Contracting Strategies ......33
Table 5: Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020 ......40
Table 6: Offshore Wind Projects Status Methodology ......45
Table 7: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 ......48
Table 8: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 ......49
Table 9: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 ......50
Table 10: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 ......52
Table 11: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......53
Table 12: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2025 .......54
Table 13: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2025 ......55
Table 14: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 ......56
Table 15: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......57
Table 16: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2025 ......57
Table 17: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......58
Table 18: Substations Installed by T ype, 2016-2025 ......58
Table 19: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025 ......59
Table 20: Personnel Transfer Vessels Required, 2016-2025 ......59
Table 21: Helicopters Required, 2016-2025 ......60

List of Figures

Figure 1: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025......8
Figure 2: Drivers for Offshore Wind ......11
Figure 3: EU 2020 Targets for Key Offshore Wind Markets – Progress to Date ......12
Figure 4: Global Primary Energy Demand Growth ......13
Figure 5: Energy Demand Forecast by Fuel Type ......13
Figure 6: Global Power Generation Forecast ......14
Figure 7: Levelised Cost of Energy – Key Technologies in Europe ......14
Figure 8: Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle ......16
Figure 9: Cost Breakdown by Project Phase – Capex, Opex, Decommissioning ......17
Figure 10: Offshore Wind Supply Chain Overview ......24
Figure 11: Average Project Capacity, Distance from Shore and Water Depth ......26
Figure 12: Offshore Wind Capex Drivers ......29
Figure 13: Offshore Wind Average Project Capex, 2000-2025 ......29
Figure 14: Planning & Development Timelines, UK. ......32
Figure 15: Size Evolution of Wind Turbines ......36
Figure 16: Aerogenerator X .......37
Figure 17: Two-bladed Offshore Wind Turbine.......37
Figure 18: Types of Floating Foundations........38
Figure 19: Picture of UAV .......39
Figure 20: Radar Image Showing Aircraft Flying Through Wind Farm .......39
Figure 21: Siemens OTM Module .......39
Figure 22: Artist’s Impression of Siemens Facility .......40
Figure 24: Wind Service Operation Vessel (SOV) .......41
Figure 23: Heli-Hoist Basket .......41
Figure 25: Key Markets, the Global Picture .......42
Figure 26: Global Offshore Wind Installed Capacity, 2016 .......42
Figure 27: Key Region, North-Western Europe .......42
Figure 28: Forecast Global Capacity Installation 2016-2025: Emerging Markets .......43
Figure 29: Global: Forecast Wind Farm, Capacity and Turbines .......43
Figure 30: All Offshore Wind Projects vs. Data Forecast Capacity, 2016-2025 .......45
Figure 31: Global Forecast Capacity .......47
Figure 32: Global Offshore Wind Forecast Capacity Installed, 2016-2025 .......47
Figure 33: North-Western Europe Forecast Capacity .......47
Figure 34: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 .......48
Figure 35: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 .......49
Figure 36: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 .......50
Figure 37: Expected Annual Offshore Wind Capex, by Type 2016-2025 .......51
Figure 38: Planning and Development Capex, 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 39: Wind Turbine Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 40: Balance of Plant Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 41: Installation Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 42: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 .......52
Figure 43: Operational Expenditure by Activity .......52
Figure 44: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......53
Figure 45: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2025 .......54
Figure 46: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2025 .......55
Figure 47: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 .......56
Figure 48: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......57
Figure 49: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2025.......57
Figure 50: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......58
Figure 51: Substations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 .......58
Figure 52: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025 .......59
Figure 53: Personnel Transfer Vessels Required, 2016-2025 .......59
Figure 54: Helicopters Required, 2016-2025 .......60

Summary

Now in its seventh edition, the new World Offshore Wind Market Forecast provides
a ten-year view of the sector through to 2025. Cumulative offshore wind capacity is
forecast to reach 74GW, driven by a large number of developments taking place in
the UK, Germany and China and strengthened by the growth of new entrants to the
offshore wind sector, such as France and the USA.

Following a strong year of offshore wind activity in 2015 (3.8GW installed), capacity installed
will dip in 2016 to 1.5GW. However, capacity will return to an upward trend, peaking at 9.2GW
in 2022. Capital Expenditure (Capex) on projects which have surpassed the conceptual stage
of development will total €200 billion (bn) between 2016 and 2025, with potential upside
of €70bn (“Expected Capex”).

Capital costs have reduced in recent years, predominantly due to the larger sizes of turbines
installed, resulting in less infrastructure (such as foundations) being required per MWh generated.
This upsizing presents new challenges for installation contractors but should result in lower
operational expenditures once wind farms become operational.

The UK will add circa 10GW of capacity over the next decade, with most of this activity
expected to occur by 2022, as Round 3 developments take place. Germany will also install
over 10GW but has a longer term outlook, with activity levels peaking in 2021. China is
expected to install over 10GW of capacity, lower than previously expected but still representing
a strong growth market.

Emerging markets include countries such as the USA and France, who are expected to have their
first operational wind farms in 2016 and 2017 respectively. The USA is expected to install 1.8GW
of offshore capacity over the next decade, and France 3.2GW.

Key Themes
The report provides detailed market forecasts through to 2025 and is essential reading for
companies working within the offshore wind sector. The report focuses on:
• Key drivers – a discussion of factors driving offshore wind installation activity
including low carbon targets, rising energy demand and the need to replace power
generation capacity.
• Commercial insights – including analysis of cost pressures on capital, lifetime costs,
risk factors and typical financing models.
• Technology review – analysis of research and development (R&D) priority areas.
• Supply chain – a review of the main players, strengths & weak¬nesses of contracting
strategies and supply chain development challenges.
• Ten-year market forecast – for new capacity, capital expendi¬ture, operating expenditure,
 wind turbines, foundations, cabling, substations and vessels.
• Country analysis – detailed operational & capital expenditure forecast, including by capacity
and segment analysis.
 
NEW FOR 2016:
• Component forecasts – translate “Expected Capex” into expected capacity and associated
components, assuming a proportion of concept / speculative projects go ahead towards the end
of the forecast period.
• Helicopter forecast – assessment of demand for construction and operations and maintenance (O&M)
support, as a result of increased helicopter use as wind farms are installed far from shore.
• Key themes – discussion around new trends in the industry including: new technologies, clustering,
repowering and logistical solutions including helicopters and service operation vessels (SOVs).
 
Why Purchase the World Offshore Wind Market Forecast?
This market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world’s top-10
oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

The report is essential for companies working within the offshore wind sector, wanting to better
understand where and when to make investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:
• Industry consultation – discussion with a wide-range of com¬panies including: project developers,
equipment manufacturers, and installation contractors. Throughout the report we highlight
pertinent quotes, related to specific aspects of the market.
• Unique and proprietary data – detailed by project in global offshore wind database. Updated
year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
• Detailed methodology – our forecast provides a ‘medium-case’ scenario for market activity,
drawn from our databases, which enables the forecasts to be established on a project-by-project
basis; taking into account factors such as project size, location, financial
backing and progress to date.
• Comprehensive analysis – comprehensive examination, analysis and 10-year forecast
of offshore wind expenditure.
• Concise report layout – consistent with this commitment to delivering value for our clients,
all of our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background
and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with ‘speed-read’
summaries of key points throughout.

Price

Single User PDF : £3,650
Single User Hardcopy : £3,650
Multi-User PDF (5 users) : £4,650
Multi-User Hardcopy (5 copies) : £4,650

Disclaimer

All Rights Reserved.Search words (for official use only) :

By purchasing this document, your organisation agrees that it will not copy or allow to be
copied in part or whole or otherwise circulated in any form any of the contents without
the written permission of the publishers. Additional copies of this study may be purchased
at a specially discounted rate.

The information contained in this document is believed to be accurate, but no representation
or warranty, express or implied, is made by the publisher as to the completeness, accuracy
or fairness of any information contained in it and we do not accept any responsibility in
relation to such information whether fact, opinion or conclusion that the reader may draw.
The views expressed are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent
those of the publishers.

To order this report, please send an email to mail@worldoils.com

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Search words (for official use only) :
Offshore Wind Project Development
Emerging Markets: Forecast Capacity 2016-2025
Renewable Energy Incentive Mechanisms in Key Markets
Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020

Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025
Global Offshore Wind Forecast Capacity Installed, 2016-2025
Expected Annual Offshore Wind Capex, by Type 2016-2025
Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

     
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace - World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Images
 
Research Reports on World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
 

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If you cannot find the new or used offshore rigs, vessels or equipment of any type, size or make that you are looking for, please send us an email to and we shall offer you.

World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace    Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace

Equipment ID   : 1693
Equipment name   : World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Category   : Research Reports
Specifications   :

Name of the Report :
World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025

Published Date : 18 November 2015

Table of Contents

1 Summary and Conclusions......7

Summary ...... 8
Conclusions ......9 

2 Drivers and Indicators ...... 10
Overview ......11
Political Drivers ......12
Economic Drivers ......13 
Low Carbon Power Generation ......14 

3 Offshore Wind Project Development ...... 15
Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle .......16
Offshore Wind Project Cost Structur......17
Capex Phase 1: Planning & Development ......18
Capex Phase 1: Wind Turbine ......19
Capex Phase 1: Balance of Plant ......20
Capex Phase 1: Installation ......21
Opex Phase ......22
Capex Phase 2: Decommissioning ......23
Offshore Wind Supply Chain ......24 

4 Commercial Insights ......25
Project Scale ......26
Supply Chain ......27
Capital and Lifetime Costs ......29
Risk Profile ......30
Financing Challenges ......31
Contracting Strategies ......33
Industry Challenges ......34
Technology: Wind Turbines ......36
Technology: Foundations ......38
Key Trends: New Technologies ......39
Key Trends: Clustering and Repowering ......40
Key Trends: Logistics ......41
Key Markets: Current Capacity ......42 
Emerging Markets: Forecast Capacity 2016-2025 ......43 

5 Market Forecast ......44
Methodology ......45
Added Capacity by Country......48
Cumulative Capacity by Country......49
Capital Expenditure by Country ......50
Annual Capital Expenditure by Type ......51
Operational Expenditure by Country ......52
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Country ......53
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Size ......54
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Manufacturer ......55
Segment Forecasts: Foundations ......56
Segment Forecasts: Cables ......57
Segment Forecasts: Offshore Substations ......58
Segment Forecasts: Vessels ......59
Segment Forecasts: Helicopters ......60 

6 Appendix ...... 61
Data and Text Conventions ......62

List of Tables

Table 1: Renewable Energy Incentive Mechanisms in Key Markets......12
Table 2: Foundation Types Comparison ......27
 Table 3: Investor Types and Their Attitude to Risk ......30
Table 4: Contracting Strategies ......33
Table 5: Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020 ......40
Table 6: Offshore Wind Projects Status Methodology ......45
Table 7: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 ......48
Table 8: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 ......49
Table 9: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 ......50
Table 10: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 ......52
Table 11: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......53
Table 12: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2025 .......54
Table 13: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2025 ......55
Table 14: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 ......56
Table 15: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......57
Table 16: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2025 ......57
Table 17: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......58
Table 18: Substations Installed by T ype, 2016-2025 ......58
Table 19: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025 ......59
Table 20: Personnel Transfer Vessels Required, 2016-2025 ......59
Table 21: Helicopters Required, 2016-2025 ......60

List of Figures

Figure 1: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025......8
Figure 2: Drivers for Offshore Wind ......11
Figure 3: EU 2020 Targets for Key Offshore Wind Markets – Progress to Date ......12
Figure 4: Global Primary Energy Demand Growth ......13
Figure 5: Energy Demand Forecast by Fuel Type ......13
Figure 6: Global Power Generation Forecast ......14
Figure 7: Levelised Cost of Energy – Key Technologies in Europe ......14
Figure 8: Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle ......16
Figure 9: Cost Breakdown by Project Phase – Capex, Opex, Decommissioning ......17
Figure 10: Offshore Wind Supply Chain Overview ......24
Figure 11: Average Project Capacity, Distance from Shore and Water Depth ......26
Figure 12: Offshore Wind Capex Drivers ......29
Figure 13: Offshore Wind Average Project Capex, 2000-2025 ......29
Figure 14: Planning & Development Timelines, UK. ......32
Figure 15: Size Evolution of Wind Turbines ......36
Figure 16: Aerogenerator X .......37
Figure 17: Two-bladed Offshore Wind Turbine.......37
Figure 18: Types of Floating Foundations........38
Figure 19: Picture of UAV .......39
Figure 20: Radar Image Showing Aircraft Flying Through Wind Farm .......39
Figure 21: Siemens OTM Module .......39
Figure 22: Artist’s Impression of Siemens Facility .......40
Figure 24: Wind Service Operation Vessel (SOV) .......41
Figure 23: Heli-Hoist Basket .......41
Figure 25: Key Markets, the Global Picture .......42
Figure 26: Global Offshore Wind Installed Capacity, 2016 .......42
Figure 27: Key Region, North-Western Europe .......42
Figure 28: Forecast Global Capacity Installation 2016-2025: Emerging Markets .......43
Figure 29: Global: Forecast Wind Farm, Capacity and Turbines .......43
Figure 30: All Offshore Wind Projects vs. Data Forecast Capacity, 2016-2025 .......45
Figure 31: Global Forecast Capacity .......47
Figure 32: Global Offshore Wind Forecast Capacity Installed, 2016-2025 .......47
Figure 33: North-Western Europe Forecast Capacity .......47
Figure 34: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 .......48
Figure 35: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 .......49
Figure 36: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 .......50
Figure 37: Expected Annual Offshore Wind Capex, by Type 2016-2025 .......51
Figure 38: Planning and Development Capex, 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 39: Wind Turbine Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 40: Balance of Plant Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 41: Installation Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 42: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 .......52
Figure 43: Operational Expenditure by Activity .......52
Figure 44: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......53
Figure 45: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2025 .......54
Figure 46: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2025 .......55
Figure 47: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 .......56
Figure 48: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......57
Figure 49: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2025.......57
Figure 50: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......58
Figure 51: Substations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 .......58
Figure 52: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025 .......59
Figure 53: Personnel Transfer Vessels Required, 2016-2025 .......59
Figure 54: Helicopters Required, 2016-2025 .......60

Summary

Now in its seventh edition, the new World Offshore Wind Market Forecast provides
a ten-year view of the sector through to 2025. Cumulative offshore wind capacity is
forecast to reach 74GW, driven by a large number of developments taking place in
the UK, Germany and China and strengthened by the growth of new entrants to the
offshore wind sector, such as France and the USA.

Following a strong year of offshore wind activity in 2015 (3.8GW installed), capacity installed
will dip in 2016 to 1.5GW. However, capacity will return to an upward trend, peaking at 9.2GW
in 2022. Capital Expenditure (Capex) on projects which have surpassed the conceptual stage
of development will total €200 billion (bn) between 2016 and 2025, with potential upside
of €70bn (“Expected Capex”).

Capital costs have reduced in recent years, predominantly due to the larger sizes of turbines
installed, resulting in less infrastructure (such as foundations) being required per MWh generated.
This upsizing presents new challenges for installation contractors but should result in lower
operational expenditures once wind farms become operational.

The UK will add circa 10GW of capacity over the next decade, with most of this activity
expected to occur by 2022, as Round 3 developments take place. Germany will also install
over 10GW but has a longer term outlook, with activity levels peaking in 2021. China is
expected to install over 10GW of capacity, lower than previously expected but still representing
a strong growth market.

Emerging markets include countries such as the USA and France, who are expected to have their
first operational wind farms in 2016 and 2017 respectively. The USA is expected to install 1.8GW
of offshore capacity over the next decade, and France 3.2GW.

Key Themes
The report provides detailed market forecasts through to 2025 and is essential reading for
companies working within the offshore wind sector. The report focuses on:
• Key drivers – a discussion of factors driving offshore wind installation activity
including low carbon targets, rising energy demand and the need to replace power
generation capacity.
• Commercial insights – including analysis of cost pressures on capital, lifetime costs,
risk factors and typical financing models.
• Technology review – analysis of research and development (R&D) priority areas.
• Supply chain – a review of the main players, strengths & weak¬nesses of contracting
strategies and supply chain development challenges.
• Ten-year market forecast – for new capacity, capital expendi¬ture, operating expenditure,
 wind turbines, foundations, cabling, substations and vessels.
• Country analysis – detailed operational & capital expenditure forecast, including by capacity
and segment analysis.
 
NEW FOR 2016:
• Component forecasts – translate “Expected Capex” into expected capacity and associated
components, assuming a proportion of concept / speculative projects go ahead towards the end
of the forecast period.
• Helicopter forecast – assessment of demand for construction and operations and maintenance (O&M)
support, as a result of increased helicopter use as wind farms are installed far from shore.
• Key themes – discussion around new trends in the industry including: new technologies, clustering,
repowering and logistical solutions including helicopters and service operation vessels (SOVs).
 
Why Purchase the World Offshore Wind Market Forecast?
This market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world’s top-10
oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

The report is essential for companies working within the offshore wind sector, wanting to better
understand where and when to make investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:
• Industry consultation – discussion with a wide-range of com¬panies including: project developers,
equipment manufacturers, and installation contractors. Throughout the report we highlight
pertinent quotes, related to specific aspects of the market.
• Unique and proprietary data – detailed by project in global offshore wind database. Updated
year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
• Detailed methodology – our forecast provides a ‘medium-case’ scenario for market activity,
drawn from our databases, which enables the forecasts to be established on a project-by-project
basis; taking into account factors such as project size, location, financial
backing and progress to date.
• Comprehensive analysis – comprehensive examination, analysis and 10-year forecast
of offshore wind expenditure.
• Concise report layout – consistent with this commitment to delivering value for our clients,
all of our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background
and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with ‘speed-read’
summaries of key points throughout.

Price

Single User PDF : £3,650
Single User Hardcopy : £3,650
Multi-User PDF (5 users) : £4,650
Multi-User Hardcopy (5 copies) : £4,650

Disclaimer

All Rights Reserved.Search words (for official use only) :

By purchasing this document, your organisation agrees that it will not copy or allow to be
copied in part or whole or otherwise circulated in any form any of the contents without
the written permission of the publishers. Additional copies of this study may be purchased
at a specially discounted rate.

The information contained in this document is believed to be accurate, but no representation
or warranty, express or implied, is made by the publisher as to the completeness, accuracy
or fairness of any information contained in it and we do not accept any responsibility in
relation to such information whether fact, opinion or conclusion that the reader may draw.
The views expressed are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent
those of the publishers.

To order this report, please send an email to mail@worldoils.com

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Search words (for official use only) :
Offshore Wind Project Development
Emerging Markets: Forecast Capacity 2016-2025
Renewable Energy Incentive Mechanisms in Key Markets
Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020

Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025
Global Offshore Wind Forecast Capacity Installed, 2016-2025
Expected Annual Offshore Wind Capex, by Type 2016-2025
Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

     
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace - World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
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Research Reports on World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
 

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World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace    
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace

Equipment ID   : 1693
Equipment name   : World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Category   : Research Reports
 
Specifications  :

Name of the Report :
World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025

Published Date : 18 November 2015

Table of Contents

1 Summary and Conclusions......7

Summary ...... 8
Conclusions ......9 

2 Drivers and Indicators ...... 10
Overview ......11
Political Drivers ......12
Economic Drivers ......13 
Low Carbon Power Generation ......14 

3 Offshore Wind Project Development ...... 15
Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle .......16
Offshore Wind Project Cost Structur......17
Capex Phase 1: Planning & Development ......18
Capex Phase 1: Wind Turbine ......19
Capex Phase 1: Balance of Plant ......20
Capex Phase 1: Installation ......21
Opex Phase ......22
Capex Phase 2: Decommissioning ......23
Offshore Wind Supply Chain ......24 

4 Commercial Insights ......25
Project Scale ......26
Supply Chain ......27
Capital and Lifetime Costs ......29
Risk Profile ......30
Financing Challenges ......31
Contracting Strategies ......33
Industry Challenges ......34
Technology: Wind Turbines ......36
Technology: Foundations ......38
Key Trends: New Technologies ......39
Key Trends: Clustering and Repowering ......40
Key Trends: Logistics ......41
Key Markets: Current Capacity ......42 
Emerging Markets: Forecast Capacity 2016-2025 ......43 

5 Market Forecast ......44
Methodology ......45
Added Capacity by Country......48
Cumulative Capacity by Country......49
Capital Expenditure by Country ......50
Annual Capital Expenditure by Type ......51
Operational Expenditure by Country ......52
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Country ......53
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Size ......54
Segment Forecasts: Wind Turbines by Manufacturer ......55
Segment Forecasts: Foundations ......56
Segment Forecasts: Cables ......57
Segment Forecasts: Offshore Substations ......58
Segment Forecasts: Vessels ......59
Segment Forecasts: Helicopters ......60 

6 Appendix ...... 61
Data and Text Conventions ......62

List of Tables

Table 1: Renewable Energy Incentive Mechanisms in Key Markets......12
Table 2: Foundation Types Comparison ......27
 Table 3: Investor Types and Their Attitude to Risk ......30
Table 4: Contracting Strategies ......33
Table 5: Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020 ......40
Table 6: Offshore Wind Projects Status Methodology ......45
Table 7: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 ......48
Table 8: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 ......49
Table 9: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 ......50
Table 10: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 ......52
Table 11: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......53
Table 12: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2025 .......54
Table 13: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2025 ......55
Table 14: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 ......56
Table 15: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......57
Table 16: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2025 ......57
Table 17: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2025 ......58
Table 18: Substations Installed by T ype, 2016-2025 ......58
Table 19: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025 ......59
Table 20: Personnel Transfer Vessels Required, 2016-2025 ......59
Table 21: Helicopters Required, 2016-2025 ......60

List of Figures

Figure 1: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025......8
Figure 2: Drivers for Offshore Wind ......11
Figure 3: EU 2020 Targets for Key Offshore Wind Markets – Progress to Date ......12
Figure 4: Global Primary Energy Demand Growth ......13
Figure 5: Energy Demand Forecast by Fuel Type ......13
Figure 6: Global Power Generation Forecast ......14
Figure 7: Levelised Cost of Energy – Key Technologies in Europe ......14
Figure 8: Offshore Wind Project Lifecycle ......16
Figure 9: Cost Breakdown by Project Phase – Capex, Opex, Decommissioning ......17
Figure 10: Offshore Wind Supply Chain Overview ......24
Figure 11: Average Project Capacity, Distance from Shore and Water Depth ......26
Figure 12: Offshore Wind Capex Drivers ......29
Figure 13: Offshore Wind Average Project Capex, 2000-2025 ......29
Figure 14: Planning & Development Timelines, UK. ......32
Figure 15: Size Evolution of Wind Turbines ......36
Figure 16: Aerogenerator X .......37
Figure 17: Two-bladed Offshore Wind Turbine.......37
Figure 18: Types of Floating Foundations........38
Figure 19: Picture of UAV .......39
Figure 20: Radar Image Showing Aircraft Flying Through Wind Farm .......39
Figure 21: Siemens OTM Module .......39
Figure 22: Artist’s Impression of Siemens Facility .......40
Figure 24: Wind Service Operation Vessel (SOV) .......41
Figure 23: Heli-Hoist Basket .......41
Figure 25: Key Markets, the Global Picture .......42
Figure 26: Global Offshore Wind Installed Capacity, 2016 .......42
Figure 27: Key Region, North-Western Europe .......42
Figure 28: Forecast Global Capacity Installation 2016-2025: Emerging Markets .......43
Figure 29: Global: Forecast Wind Farm, Capacity and Turbines .......43
Figure 30: All Offshore Wind Projects vs. Data Forecast Capacity, 2016-2025 .......45
Figure 31: Global Forecast Capacity .......47
Figure 32: Global Offshore Wind Forecast Capacity Installed, 2016-2025 .......47
Figure 33: North-Western Europe Forecast Capacity .......47
Figure 34: Added Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 .......48
Figure 35: Cumulative Capacity by Country, 2016-2025 .......49
Figure 36: Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 .......50
Figure 37: Expected Annual Offshore Wind Capex, by Type 2016-2025 .......51
Figure 38: Planning and Development Capex, 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 39: Wind Turbine Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 40: Balance of Plant Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 41: Installation Annual Capex 2016-2025, €m .......51
Figure 42: Operational Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025 .......52
Figure 43: Operational Expenditure by Activity .......52
Figure 44: Wind Turbines Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......53
Figure 45: Wind Turbines Installed by Size, 2016-2025 .......54
Figure 46: Wind Turbines Installed by Manufacturer, 2016-2025 .......55
Figure 47: Foundations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 .......56
Figure 48: Cable Length Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......57
Figure 49: Cable Length Installed by Type, 2016-2025.......57
Figure 50: Substations Installed by Country, 2016-2025 .......58
Figure 51: Substations Installed by Type, 2016-2025 .......58
Figure 52: Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025 .......59
Figure 53: Personnel Transfer Vessels Required, 2016-2025 .......59
Figure 54: Helicopters Required, 2016-2025 .......60

Summary

Now in its seventh edition, the new World Offshore Wind Market Forecast provides
a ten-year view of the sector through to 2025. Cumulative offshore wind capacity is
forecast to reach 74GW, driven by a large number of developments taking place in
the UK, Germany and China and strengthened by the growth of new entrants to the
offshore wind sector, such as France and the USA.

Following a strong year of offshore wind activity in 2015 (3.8GW installed), capacity installed
will dip in 2016 to 1.5GW. However, capacity will return to an upward trend, peaking at 9.2GW
in 2022. Capital Expenditure (Capex) on projects which have surpassed the conceptual stage
of development will total €200 billion (bn) between 2016 and 2025, with potential upside
of €70bn (“Expected Capex”).

Capital costs have reduced in recent years, predominantly due to the larger sizes of turbines
installed, resulting in less infrastructure (such as foundations) being required per MWh generated.
This upsizing presents new challenges for installation contractors but should result in lower
operational expenditures once wind farms become operational.

The UK will add circa 10GW of capacity over the next decade, with most of this activity
expected to occur by 2022, as Round 3 developments take place. Germany will also install
over 10GW but has a longer term outlook, with activity levels peaking in 2021. China is
expected to install over 10GW of capacity, lower than previously expected but still representing
a strong growth market.

Emerging markets include countries such as the USA and France, who are expected to have their
first operational wind farms in 2016 and 2017 respectively. The USA is expected to install 1.8GW
of offshore capacity over the next decade, and France 3.2GW.

Key Themes
The report provides detailed market forecasts through to 2025 and is essential reading for
companies working within the offshore wind sector. The report focuses on:
• Key drivers – a discussion of factors driving offshore wind installation activity
including low carbon targets, rising energy demand and the need to replace power
generation capacity.
• Commercial insights – including analysis of cost pressures on capital, lifetime costs,
risk factors and typical financing models.
• Technology review – analysis of research and development (R&D) priority areas.
• Supply chain – a review of the main players, strengths & weak¬nesses of contracting
strategies and supply chain development challenges.
• Ten-year market forecast – for new capacity, capital expendi¬ture, operating expenditure,
 wind turbines, foundations, cabling, substations and vessels.
• Country analysis – detailed operational & capital expenditure forecast, including by capacity
and segment analysis.
 
NEW FOR 2016:
• Component forecasts – translate “Expected Capex” into expected capacity and associated
components, assuming a proportion of concept / speculative projects go ahead towards the end
of the forecast period.
• Helicopter forecast – assessment of demand for construction and operations and maintenance (O&M)
support, as a result of increased helicopter use as wind farms are installed far from shore.
• Key themes – discussion around new trends in the industry including: new technologies, clustering,
repowering and logistical solutions including helicopters and service operation vessels (SOVs).
 
Why Purchase the World Offshore Wind Market Forecast?
This market forecasting is trusted by sector players worldwide, with clients including the world’s top-10
oil & gas companies, top-10 oilfield services companies and top-10 private equity firms.

The report is essential for companies working within the offshore wind sector, wanting to better
understand where and when to make investment decisions.

Our proven approach includes:
• Industry consultation – discussion with a wide-range of com¬panies including: project developers,
equipment manufacturers, and installation contractors. Throughout the report we highlight
pertinent quotes, related to specific aspects of the market.
• Unique and proprietary data – detailed by project in global offshore wind database. Updated
year-round from published sources and insight gained from industry consultation.
• Detailed methodology – our forecast provides a ‘medium-case’ scenario for market activity,
drawn from our databases, which enables the forecasts to be established on a project-by-project
basis; taking into account factors such as project size, location, financial
backing and progress to date.
• Comprehensive analysis – comprehensive examination, analysis and 10-year forecast
of offshore wind expenditure.
• Concise report layout – consistent with this commitment to delivering value for our clients,
all of our market forecasts have a concise layout consisting of industry background
and supporting materials condensed to enable quick review with ‘speed-read’
summaries of key points throughout.

Price

Single User PDF : £3,650
Single User Hardcopy : £3,650
Multi-User PDF (5 users) : £4,650
Multi-User Hardcopy (5 copies) : £4,650

Disclaimer

All Rights Reserved.Search words (for official use only) :

By purchasing this document, your organisation agrees that it will not copy or allow to be
copied in part or whole or otherwise circulated in any form any of the contents without
the written permission of the publishers. Additional copies of this study may be purchased
at a specially discounted rate.

The information contained in this document is believed to be accurate, but no representation
or warranty, express or implied, is made by the publisher as to the completeness, accuracy
or fairness of any information contained in it and we do not accept any responsibility in
relation to such information whether fact, opinion or conclusion that the reader may draw.
The views expressed are those of the individual authors and do not necessarily represent
those of the publishers.

To order this report, please send an email to mail@worldoils.com

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Search words (for official use only) :
Offshore Wind Project Development
Emerging Markets: Forecast Capacity 2016-2025
Renewable Energy Incentive Mechanisms in Key Markets
Cost of Repowered Wind vs. CCGT 2005-2020

Capital Expenditure by Country, 2016-2025
Global Offshore Wind Forecast Capacity Installed, 2016-2025
Expected Annual Offshore Wind Capex, by Type 2016-2025
Installation Vessels Required by Type, 2016-2025

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Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace - World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
Images
 
Research Reports on World Offshore Wind Market Forecast 2016-2025
 

To enquire on this equipment, please send an email to

The information contained herein is believed to be accurate but has not been verified. This equipment is subject to prior sale and sold “where-is as-is” with no warranties from Worldoils Pte Ltd or the Seller expressed or implied.
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace    
Worldoils Oil, Gas and Offshore Marketplace

 


 

If you cannot find the new or used offshore rigs, vessels or equipment of any type, size or make that you are looking for, please send us an email to and we shall offer you.


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